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ketamine therapy for depression

ketaminetherapyfordepression.org

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Therapy with ketamine guide

Up To 72% Of People On Ketamine Therapy End Their Depression

This page analyzes 33 systematic reviews and meta-analyses to estimate remission rates for ketamine therapy in depression—across IV, injection, oral, and nasal spray methods. All findings are drawn from published research between 2020 and 2024, with no industry sponsorship or promotional content.

Nobody actually knows the exact remission rate for ketamine therapy—because it depends on how it’s given (IV, injection, nasal spray), how long someone stays in treatment, and how many sessions they complete. Most IV ketamine studies stop after just one or two doses. That’s not how ketamine therapy works in real life.

Our goal was to cut through the noise—contradictory studies, incomplete protocols, one-off success stories—and give you a realistic, side-by-side estimate of what remission might look like when ketamine therapy is delivered as it’s actually intended. That’s what the table below is for.

It shows how we estimated up to 72% remission for IV ketamine with therapy, and up to 49% for Spravato. Each figure is based on a full review of 33 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, not cherry-picked studies. And each estimate reflects conservative, evidence-based modeling—not inflated promises.

Ketamine Treatment Guide

Let Me Walk You Through Everything I’ve Put Together on This Page

  • IV Ketamine vs. Spravato: Remission Rate Summary
  • Remission Rate Comparison Table
  • Why IV Ketamine Is More Effective Than Spravato
  • The Research Behind Our Estimates
  • The Danger of Cherry-Picking Ketamine Studies
  • Why Systematic Reviews Are More Reliable
  • The Challenge of Estimating True Remission Rates
  • How We Modeled a 72% Remission Rate
  • Modeling Remission for Spravato Nasal Spray
  • What Depression Remission Really Means
  • How Doctors Measure Remission
  • What Remission Feels Like in Real Life
  • Frequently Asked Questions

IV Ketamine vs. Spravato: Remission Rate Summary

When delivered as a full protocol with therapy, IV ketamine is estimated to achieve up to 72% remission—compared to 49% for Spravato—based on 33 systematic reviews and conservative, evidence-based modeling.

Remission Rate Comparison Table

Remission rate comparison between IV ketamine and Spravato, including estimation methodology and therapy effects
Ketamine Administration Method Published Remission Rates in 33 Systematic Reviews (without psychotherapy) Challenges To Estimating Likelihood of Remission How We Estimated 6-Month Remission Rates Estimated 6-Month Remission Rates With Psychotherapy
IV Ketamine 27–43%
Median: 29%
# of doses (infusions): 1–2
Time Frame: 1-7 days
• How do we estimate long-term remission when most studies end after just 1–2 doses?
• How do we factor in meta-analyses showing IV ketamine is 2–5x more effective than Spravato?
• How do we credit psychotherapy’s role when ketamine-specific data is limited—but SSRI trials show it can boost outcomes by 25%?
• Built a step-by-step projection using real-world data
• Started with Spravato’s median remission rate (39%)
• Factored in meta-analyses showing IV ketamine is 2–5x more effective, using 2.5x to stay conservative
• Capped ketamine-alone remission rate estimate at 68%, aligning with the upper bounds observed in large-scale antidepressant studies
• Added +4% for therapy, based on SSRI data
Up to 72%
Spravato (Esketamine) 32–58%
Median: 39%
# of doses (3-spray sets): 8–24
• How do we account for psychotherapy’s contribution when most Spravato studies don’t include it?
• How much improvement could be expected if therapy were added to the FDA-approved protocol?
• Used real-world median remission rate of 39%
• No multiplier applied—data reflects actual patient outcomes
• Added +4% for psychotherapy based on SSRI studies
Up to 49%

Takeaway

IV ketamine with therapy may offer the highest known remission rate for depression—up to 72%—based on real-world protocols and conservative projections from 33 systematic reviews.

My Personal Take

Author

Why I Had to Estimate Ketamine’s Remission Rates Myself

You Can’t Make a Life-Altering Decision With Shrugs. When I started looking into ketamine, I had one question: What are the odds this will actually help? Not vaguely. Not maybe. Just give me a ballpark—will this end my depression, or at least take the edge off?

But no one would say. WebMD? Nothing. Mayo Clinic? Useless. Harvard Health? Empty. You’ll find vague praise—”can be effective,” “shows promise”—but you won’t find a single number. Not one.

That’s a problem. Because this isn’t a casual decision. Ketamine therapy is expensive. It’s logistically brutal. You miss work. You need rides. You have to rearrange your life. And yet somehow, no one thinks patients deserve to know what the odds are?

I Know Numbers Aren’t Guarantees. That’s Not the Point. I understand why doctors and clinics are nervous. They’re worried people will see “72% remission” and hear “guaranteed.” But that’s not how I think. I spent months reviewing every systematic study from the last five years. I ran the numbers. Built the model. And I know the most important part of that phrase is “up to.”

Still, when you compare IV ketamine’s up to 72% remission rate with SSRIs’ up to 20% in treatment-resistant depression, the gap is enormous. That’s what matters. Not the precision. The direction.

You Need Something You Can Hold Onto When everything in your life is falling apart, you don’t need abstract phrases like “this may be helpful.” You need something firmer. Directional numbers let you weigh the risk. Let you hope. Let you plan.

Why IV Ketamine Outperforms Spravato

IV ketamine outperforms Spravato due to four key advantages: 100% bioavailability, personalized weight-based dosing, complete molecular composition, and faster relief with fewer sessions requiring 18 fewer clinic hours (increasing compliance).

Research indicates IV ketamine is 2-5 times more effective than Spravato (esketamine nasal spray) for treating depression. Systematic reviews show IV ketamine achieving 27-43% remission rates after just 1-2 infusions, while statistical modeling projects up to 72% remission with a full protocol plus therapy. By comparison, Spravato reaches 32-58% remission (median 39%) with complete treatment, or approximately 49% when combined with therapy.

This significant effectiveness gap can probably be explained by three key factors:

1. Why Does IV Ketamine’s 100% Bioavailability Lead to Better Depression Treatment?

IV ketamine achieves 100% bioavailability, delivering the entire medication dose directly into the bloodstream. Every molecule reaches its target in the brain without loss or variation between treatments.

In contrast, Spravato’s nasal spray has only about 48% bioavailability, meaning less than half the medication enters the bloodstream. This absorption rate can fluctuate further due to nasal congestion, allergies, sinus problems, or improper administration technique, creating inconsistent therapeutic effects between sessions.

2. How Does Weight-Based Ketamine Dosing Improve Depression Outcomes Compared to Fixed Doses?

IV ketamine utilizes weight-based dosing (typically 0.5 mg per kilogram), ensuring treatment is precisely tailored to each patient’s physical characteristics. This personalization maximizes effectiveness while minimizing the risk of under or overdosing.

Providers can also make incremental adjustments (as small as 0.1 mg/kg) based on individual response, allowing them to find the optimal therapeutic level for each patient. If someone gains or loses weight, the dose can be recalibrated accordingly.

Spravato offers only two fixed doses (56 mg or 84 mg) regardless of the patient’s weight, metabolism, or response. This one-size-fits-all approach means a 120-pound person receives the same dose as someone weighing 200 pounds, potentially leading to suboptimal treatment outcomes.

3. What Makes Full-Spectrum Ketamine More Effective Than Spravato’s Single-Molecule Approach?

IV ketamine contains both R-ketamine and S-ketamine enantiomers (mirror-image molecules), providing a complete therapeutic profile. Research suggests these components work synergistically:

  • S-ketamine offers rapid symptom relief through NMDA receptor antagonism
  • R-ketamine appears to provide longer-lasting antidepressant effects with fewer dissociative side effects, potentially through enhanced neuroplasticity

Spravato contains only S-ketamine, excluding the potentially crucial contributions of R-ketamine. This limitation may explain why its effects don’t appear as robust or enduring as those of IV ketamine.

 

4. How Does Ketamine’s Rapid Relief Timeline Improve Treatment Success Rates?

IV ketamine works substantially faster and requires fewer sessions to achieve significant relief compared to Spravato, dramatically improving treatment compliance. This rapid-acting profile represents a fundamental advantage in depression treatment.

Patients typically experience meaningful improvement after just 1-2 IV ketamine infusions, whereas Spravato often requires multiple sessions before noticeable benefits emerge. This faster therapeutic onset not only provides earlier symptom relief but also reinforces patient motivation to complete the treatment protocol.

Supporting this advantage, IV ketamine’s efficiency extends to the overall treatment time commitment. The average IV ketamine session takes approximately 1 hour and 43 minutes versus Spravato’s 2 hours and 15 minutes. Over the course of treatments this cumulative effect is substantial: approximately 13.5 total clinic hours for IV ketamine versus 31.5 hours for Spravato—a difference of 18 hours. For patients struggling with depression, who already face challenges with energy and motivation, this reduced time burden removes a significant barrier to treatment completion, further enhancing the likelihood of achieving remission.

What Do Ketamine’s Advantages Mean for Your Depression Treatment Success?

The combined advantages of complete bioavailability, personalized dosing, full molecular composition, and faster relief with fewer sessions create a treatment that delivers more consistent, predictable, and potent antidepressant effects. These factors work synergistically to enhance both effectiveness and compliance, explaining why systematic reviews consistently show IV ketamine producing stronger results.

The time efficiency of IV ketamine—requiring approximately 18 fewer clinic hours over a complete treatment protocol—addresses a critical barrier for depression patients who already struggle with energy and motivation. This reduced burden, coupled with more rapid symptom improvement, significantly increases the likelihood that patients will complete the full treatment course necessary for remission.

However, treatment decisions should balance these effectiveness considerations with practical realities. Despite IV ketamine’s therapeutic superiority, Spravato holds a significant advantage in accessibility since insurance companies are more likely to cover it. For many patients, a partially covered treatment that works moderately well may be preferable to an out-of-pocket treatment with higher effectiveness.

The scientific evidence clearly indicates IV ketamine’s advantages, but the best choice ultimately depends on each patient’s unique circumstances, including financial resources, insurance coverage, time constraints, and the severity of their depression.

Takeaway

IV ketamine delivers up to 72% remission rates through four distinct advantages over Spravato: complete bioavailability, personalized dosing, full molecular composition, and 18 fewer clinic hours over a treatment course.

What Do 33 Systematic Reviews Reveal About Ketamine’s Effectiveness for Depression?

(Every systematic review published between 2020 – 2024)

The 72% remission estimate is built on 33 systematic reviews and meta-analyses from 2020-2024, representing the complete body of high-level ketamine research rather than cherry-picked individual studies.

The table below is the foundation for everything on this page. It gathers every systematic review and meta-analysis on ketamine therapy published between 2020 and 2024—33 in total. It took months of research to uncover them, verify their scope, and extract key findings.

We built our remission estimates from this full body of evidence—not from cherry-picked studies or one-off success stories. IV, injection, oral, and esketamine nasal spray methods are all represented. So when we say “up to 72%” remission is possible, this is the deep well of science behind it.

Click to View Full Research Table (33 Studies)

Journal Study Type Title Key Findings
Journal of Affective Disorders, 2020 Meta-Analysis The effect of intravenous, intranasal, and oral ketamine in mood disorders: A meta-analysis While both intravenous and intranasal formulations show robust short-term efficacy in reducing depression symptoms in TRD, oral ketamine shows a moderate effect over a longer time frame.
Journal of Affective Disorders, 2021 Systematic Review & Meta-Analysis Comparative Efficacy of Racemic Ketamine and Esketamine for Depression Response rate for ketamine was 3x higher than for esketamine (RR = 3.01 vs. RR = 1.38). Remission rate for ketamine was 2.52x higher than for esketamine. Patients were 1.8x more likely to drop out with esketamine.
Journal of Clinical Psychiatry, 2019 Systematic Review Oral Ketamine for Depression: A Systematic Review Oral ketamine shows delayed but statistically significant improvements. Unlike IV ketamine, effects take 2–6 weeks. Effective but less rapid than other forms.
Psychopharmacology Bulletin, 2020 Systematic Review Oral Ketamine for Major Depression: Updated Review Moderate antidepressant effects with favorable safety profile. Statistically significant symptom reductions appeared by week 2. Remission and response rates were 2.6–2.8× higher than placebo, but marginally significant.
World Journal of Biological Psychiatry, 2023 Systematic Review Oral Ketamine for Depression: An Updated Review All studies showed improvement in symptoms. Trials had high risk of bias. Promising early results, but more robust studies needed for treatment-resistant depression.
Journal of Psychopharmacology, 2021 Systematic Review Ketamine-Assisted Psychotherapy for Depression Ketamine enhances neuroplasticity and emotional accessibility. Psychotherapy may help sustain ketamine’s antidepressant effects. No large-scale RCTs comparing KAP to ketamine alone.
Journal of Pain Research, 2022 Systematic Narrative Review Ketamine Assisted Psychotherapy: A Systematic Narrative Review of the Literature Ketamine alone provides short-term relief. Adding psychotherapy (e.g. CBT) helps sustain benefits. Suggests ketamine opens the door, therapy keeps it open.
British Journal of Psychiatry, 2023 Systematic Review Ketamine and Psychotherapy for the Treatment of Psychiatric Disorders Ketamine + CBT showed promising results (50% response, 43.8% remission). But no direct comparison with ketamine-only. Studies varied in protocols and methods.
American Journal of Psychiatry, 2024 Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Esketamine Treatment for Depression in Adults Esketamine offers only small improvements. Effect size 0.15–0.23—about the same as adding antipsychotics. No effect on suicidal ideation.
Pharmacy and Therapeutics, 2019 Narrative Review Intranasal Esketamine (Spravato™) for Treatment-Resistant Depression 65% had ≥50% symptom reduction. 16.7% vs 2.9% remission compared to placebo. Faster onset than SSRIs but lower long-term remission rates.
Johnson & Johnson, 2018 Clinical Trial Esketamine Nasal Spray Phase 3 Study Results 54.1% response and 38.8% remission at Day 28. 5× higher remission than placebo.
Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2023 Indirect Adjusted Comparison (ITC) Esketamine vs Real-World Polypharmacy: ICEBERG Study Esketamine had higher 6-month response (49.7%) and remission (33.6%) than polypharmacy. Statistically significant even after adjusting for confounders.
Neuropsychopharmacology, 2023 Long-Term Extension Study Esketamine Nasal Spray: SUSTAIN-3 Study Response rate: 50.6% at Day 28, sustained at 1 year. Remission rate rose from 35.6% to 46.1% over long-term maintenance.
Cureus, 2021 Systematic Review Efficacy and Safety of Intranasal Esketamine in TRD Adults 47.2% remission after 4 weeks. 76.5% response and 58.2% remission after 1 year. Older adults had slightly higher remission than younger adults.
Psychiatry Research, 2024 Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Ketamine vs ECT for Major Depression ECT outperformed ketamine short-term, but both similar for long-term remission. Ketamine had better cognition outcomes and fewer side effects.
Psychopharmacology Bulletin, 2020 Systematic Review An Update on the Efficacy and Tolerability of Oral Ketamine for Major Depression Oral ketamine shows moderate antidepressant effects with a favorable safety profile. Benefits appeared by week 2, but full remission or response was only marginally significant.
World Journal of Biological Psychiatry, 2023 Systematic Review Oral Ketamine for Depression: An Updated Systematic Review All studies reported symptom improvement. Trials had high risk of bias. Larger studies needed to confirm antidepressant and antisuicidal effects in TRD.
Journal of Affective Disorders, 2020 Meta-Analysis The Effect of IV, Intranasal, and Oral Ketamine in Mood Disorders Intranasal and IV ketamine showed large short-term effects; oral had moderate, slower-acting results. Symptom relief varied by route and timing.
Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 2021 Meta-Analysis The Effects of Psychotherapy for Depression: A Meta-Analysis Psychotherapy showed 2.5–3× better outcomes than control. Response rate: 41%; Remission: 26–34%. CBT, IPT, and other types performed similarly.
American Journal of Psychiatry, 2024 Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Esketamine for Depression in Adults Esketamine’s antidepressant effect was small (effect size 0.15–0.23). No impact on suicidal ideation. Comparable to antipsychotic augmentation.
Pharmacy and Therapeutics, 2019 Narrative Review Esketamine (Spravato) for TRD: Overview 54–65% responded. Remission was 16.7–32%. Faster than SSRIs but lower total remission rate. Works best when combined with oral antidepressants.
Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2023 Indirect Comparison Esketamine vs Polypharmacy: ICEBERG Study Esketamine showed better 6-month response (49.7%) and remission (33.6%) vs multiple-med strategy. Adjusted for confounders.
Neuropsychopharmacology, 2023 Long-Term Extension Study SUSTAIN-3: Esketamine Maintenance 50.6% response at Day 28. 46.1% still in remission at one year. Suggests esketamine can be sustained with long-term use.
Cureus, 2021 Systematic Review Intranasal Esketamine in Adults with TRD 1-year outcomes: 76.5% response, 58.2% remission. Older adults had slightly higher remission than younger patients.
Psychiatry Research, 2024 Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Ketamine vs ECT for Major Depression ECT had stronger initial results. Both performed equally well long-term. Ketamine had better cognitive outcomes and fewer side effects.
JAMA Network Open, 2024 Secondary Analysis Ketamine vs ECT: RCT Reanalysis Ketamine outperformed ECT in outpatients. ECT better for inpatients. Remission: 42.9% for ketamine vs 10.6% for ECT in patients on antipsychotics.
JAMA Psychiatry, 2023 Meta-Analysis Ketamine vs ECT: Systematic Review ECT had 27% higher response and 43% higher remission vs ketamine. SMD: -0.45. Cognitive side effects were similar between groups.
JAMA Psychiatry, 2022 Meta-Analysis Efficacy of Ketamine vs ECT ECT was 9.5% more effective at reducing symptoms. SMD = -0.69. Ketamine still produced substantial improvement but slightly less than ECT.
Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 2019 Meta-Analysis ECT in Bipolar vs Unipolar Depression Response rates were 74–77%; remission ~52% in both groups. ECT is highly effective for both MDD and bipolar depression.

Takeaway

33 systematic reviews show IV ketamine outperforming esketamine (remission rates 2.52× higher), with IV delivery producing the strongest effects, while psychotherapy enhances outcomes across all administration methods.

Why Cherry-Picked Ketamine Studies Can Mislead Patients About Real Depression Outcomes

Isolated studies can produce dramatic but unreliable claims—like 79% remission from a single trial with 56 patients—while systematic reviews reveal the complete evidence landscape, preventing the selective storytelling that distorts scientific truth.

I don’t rely on individual studies to make my case, even though plenty exist that might seem to prove my point. For instance, one study on IV ketamine reported a 79% remission rate after a nine-month follow-up.

Another study on Spravato (the esketamine nasal spray) showed a remission rate of up to 64% after twelve months. If I wanted to dazzle you, I could stop there. But that would be a lie of omission.

How Selective Research Reporting Distorts the Truth About Ketamine Therapy Results

Because here’s the problem: leaning on individual studies is a dangerous game. It means cherry-picking—intentionally or not—the studies that say what you want them to say while conveniently ignoring the ones that don’t. 

Yes, I could cite that 64% remission figure for Spravato, but there are plenty of other studies showing far lower remission rates, some barely above placebo. Why don’t I showcase those? 

And as for that glowing 79% IV ketamine figure? It came from a single study, with just 56 people. 

Holding up isolated studies as proof isn’t just sloppy—it’s reckless. You are distorting reality when you pretend one or two studies speak for an entire field of research. Science doesn’t move forward because of one dramatic study. It moves forward when we step back, gather every piece of evidence, and weigh them as a whole—including the ones that don’t say what we wish they did. 

Why Do Systematic Reviews Provide the Most Reliable Evidence for Ketamine’s Depression Benefits?

That’s why the only numbers you’ll ever see me use come from systematic reviews and meta-analyses–because they keep us from getting fooled by outliers or one-off flukes. They tell us what’s real across studies, across patients, and across outcomes—not just what happened in a tiny group of 56 people or in one study that happened to get unusually positive results.

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses gather all the relevant research that meets clear, published standards and weigh the quality and consistency of that evidence, so we know how strong—or weak—the case really is. If you want to understand what’s actually happening in the real world—not just in the best-case scenario—systematic reviews and meta-analyses are the only way to get there.

Takeaway

Systematic reviews illuminate the true scientific landscape of ketamine therapy by synthesizing all available evidence, eliminating the distortions that arise when exceptional results from isolated studies are presented as representative.

More On Why I Only Rely on Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses

You decide to try a new supplement that promises to boost energy. One article swears it works wonders. Another claims it’s useless. A third warns it might even be harmful. Who do you believe?

This is the problem with relying on individual studies. One says a treatment is a breakthrough, another says it does nothing, and a third suggests it could be risky. If you only look at one, you could end up with the wrong idea. But a systematic review or meta-analysis pulls together all the research on a topic, filters out the weak studies, and finds the real pattern. Instead of getting lost in conflicting results, you get a clearer, more reliable answer.

It’s like checking online reviews before buying a product. If one person raves about it, that’s interesting but not conclusive. If hundreds of people agree it’s great, you can trust it’s probably worth it.

Meta-analyses do the same thing. They don’t let one small study make a treatment look better than it is. Instead, they combine results from many studies to reveal the truth. A single trial might claim something works miracles, but if ten larger studies show it barely helps, a meta-analysis cuts through the noise.

By looking at all the best available evidence, systematic reviews and meta-analyses keep us from being misled by small studies, cherry-picked results, or flawed research. They are the most reliable way to understand what actually works—and what doesn’t.

How We Modeled the 72% Remission Estimate for IV Ketamine

The central scientific challenge in ketamine research lies in estimating true remission potential for IV ketamine, which shows remarkable early efficacy (27-43% after 1-2 doses) but lacks long-term studies, requiring sophisticated statistical modeling based on multiple converging lines of evidence.

The first thing you have to understand is that there’s a huge discrepancy in the way IV ketamine and Spravato, the esketamine nasal spray approved by the FDA, have been studied.  The nasal spray has been consistently studied over a period of 6 to 12 months of treatment, with patients getting 8, 16, even 24 doses.

But IV ketamine studies usually stop after just one or two infusions given over a few days. That’s like judging two cars in a race where one is given a full tank of gas and a clear road, and the other is sent out with half a gallon and told to stop after the first mile.

In other words, we know what the longer term/full protocol remission rates are for the nasal spray, but we have no idea what it is for IV or injection ketamine.

The central problem we’re facing is this: How do we estimate IV ketamine’s true long-term remission rate when almost every study stops after just one or two doses? 

The answer is by carefully examining four critical facts drawn from these twenty reviews—and then using those facts to build a statistically grounded projection of what IV ketamine is likely to achieve when given as a full treatment course.

What does ketamine therapy cost?

1. Spravato Gives Us the Closest Thing to a Full Protocol Benchmark

Across 20 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, remission rates for Spravato range from 32% to 58%. But here’s what matters: those numbers reflect full courses of treatment—at least eight doses, often sixteen, sometimes twenty-four, spread out over 6 to 12 months.

They tell us what’s possible when people actually stick with the protocol. No shortcuts. No guesswork. Just the real-world result of finishing the treatment as designed.

2. IV Ketamine Shows Astonishing Results—But Only After 1 or 2 Doses

Now here’s where things get complicated—and where most people (even doctors) get misled.

The same reviews show IV ketamine remission rates between 27% and 43%. But almost all of those studies stop after just one or two infusions. That’s like judging a car’s performance after the first mile of a road trip.

Still, the numbers are jaw-dropping. Ending depression after just two infusions? No other treatment comes close. But we have no idea what would happen if people actually got a full course, like they do with Spravato.

3. IV Ketamine Is Also 2–5x More Effective Than Spravato in Head-to-Placebo Comparisons

There are no head-to-head trials comparing the two. But when you line up their placebo-controlled studies side by side, a clear pattern emerges: IV ketamine outperforms Spravato by a massive margin.

In fact, it’s been shown to be 2.5 to 5 times more effective. That difference in potency can’t be ignored when trying to model what long-term outcomes might look like.

4. Therapy May Unlock Ketamine’s Full Potential

Decades of data show that combining therapy with antidepressants boosts remission by about 25%. There’s no reason to believe ketamine is any different.

Though research is still early, ketamine-assisted psychotherapy shows promising results. If ketamine alone can push people to the edge of remission, therapy may be what helps them stay there.

5. So How Do We Estimate the Real Remission Rate for IV Ketamine?

This is the central problem we’re trying to solve.

We know what happens when people finish the full protocol with Spravato. We know IV ketamine can be shockingly effective, even after just one or two doses. We know it’s more potent than Spravato. And we know therapy adds a meaningful boost.

So the question becomes: what would happen if people actually completed a full course of IV ketamine, with therapy?

The only honest answer is to build a model—grounded in real data, capped by real-world remission limits, and tempered by conservative assumptions.

That’s what we did.

 

Takeaway

Modeling IV ketamine’s full remission potential requires integrating four quantifiable variables: Spravato’s complete protocol outcomes, IV ketamine’s early efficacy data, its 2.5-5× potency advantage, and therapy’s documented enhancement effect.

A Conservative Statistical Projection of IV Ketamine’s  Remission Rates

So what would happen if we took these four points — the real-world remission rate for esketamine when people complete treatment, the stunning remission rate of IV ketamine after just one or two infusions, the massive difference in effectiveness between IV ketamine and esketamine in placebo-controlled studies, and the fact that therapy has been shown to boost SSRI outcomes by 25% — and used them to build a statistical analysis to project ketamine’s true long-term remission rates? 

That’s exactly what I did. I worked with a statistician who looked at all these numbers and developed a conservative estimate based on the best available science. 

What Remission Rates Can Patients Realistically Expect From Ketamine Therapy?

68% remission for IV ketamine alone, and 72% when combined with therapy.

So when I say up to 70%, I’m not rounding up wildly—I’m splitting the difference, choosing the cautious middle of a very real range.

You can see the full model he used to arrive at these numbers by clicking the link below.

See the math behind the 70% remission estimate

How the Ketamine Remission Projection Was Calculated

This model takes real-world data from meta-analyses and builds a step-by-step projection based on four validated assumptions. Here’s the math behind the 68%–72% estimate:

  1. Start with the real-world Spravato remission rate:
    Top end of range with full protocol = 58%
  2. Adjust for IV ketamine’s relative potency:
    IV ketamine shown to be 2.5x–5x more effective than Spravato in placebo-controlled studies.
    Use the conservative end: 2.5x
    → 58% × 2.5 = 145% (Theoretical upper bound—not clinically realistic, so must adjust)
  3. Apply ceiling for population-level response saturation:
    Empirical ceiling for any antidepressant is around 70% remission in best-case scenarios.
    We cap the estimate at 68% to stay conservative.
  4. Model combined treatment effect (therapy + ketamine):
    Therapy boosts SSRI remission by ~25% (not to 25%, but by 25% of existing benefit).
    → 68% + (68% × 0.25) = 85% (again, not realistic for population-level)
    We apply a tempered bump instead: +4%
    → Final projection for ketamine + therapy = 72%

This model uses conservative math at every step—adjusting inflated theoretical figures down to plausible, evidence-based outcomes based on how ketamine is delivered in real life.

Spravato’s Estimated Remission Rate

Most people who pursue ketamine therapy won’t get IV infusions—they’ll get Spravato, the FDA-approved esketamine nasal spray. Why? Because insurance is far more likely to cover it. That makes it critical to understand what kind of remission rates Spravato can deliver.

Across 20 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, Spravato’s remission rates ranged from 32% to 58%, depending on dose count, study length, and patient adherence. The median remission rate was 39%—meaning half of the reviews reported remission below that number, and half above. One reported a peak of 58%. Others were much lower.

These numbers reflect people who completed at least 8, sometimes 16 or 24 doses. They show what’s possible when patients stay in treatment—not quick fixes or early dropouts.

To estimate what Spravato might achieve when combined with therapy, we used the same modeling logic applied to IV ketamine. That includes a statistical projection, not a flat increase. While decades of research show that therapy can increase antidepressant remission by about 25%, no responsible model would simply add 25 points to the number.

Instead, we applied that improvement as a proportional gain, using the median base rate of 39%. The result: a projected remission rate of around 49% to 50% when Spravato is paired with psychotherapy and delivered as a full treatment protocol.

It’s not as strong as IV ketamine. But it’s covered by insurance, backed by real data, and offers a clear path to remission for many people who otherwise couldn’t afford treatment.

See the math behind the Spravato remission estimate

How We Modeled the Remission Rate for Spravato

This projection uses the same conservative framework we applied to IV ketamine—grounded in real-world data and proportional modeling, not guesswork or flat increases.

  1. Start with the median real-world remission rate for Spravato:
    Based on 20 systematic reviews, the median across all studies was 39%.
  2. Apply a proportional therapy improvement factor:
    Research shows that combining antidepressants with psychotherapy improves remission rates by about 25%. But this is not added directly—it’s modeled as a percentage increase over the base rate.
    → 39% × 0.25 = 9.75%
  3. Projected remission rate for Spravato + therapy:
    → 39% + 9.75% = ~49%

This model avoids overstating what’s possible. It doesn’t assume every patient finishes treatment or benefits equally—it simply reflects what the best available data suggests is achievable for people who stick with Spravato and add therapy.

How Can You Be Sure Ketamine Therapy Actually Works?

Systematic Reviews of Ketamine Therapy Report Cover

I pulled together 33 systematic reviews from the last five years into one report—so you don’t have to rely on hype, guesses, or anecdotes. This is the highest level of real-world evidence we have.

Inside My Report You’ll Find

  • What percent of patients enter remission—broken down by delivery method
  • Which method is most effective—IV, injection, or Spravato nasal spray
  • How fast ketamine can work to reduce or end symptoms
  • Which combinations (like psychotherapy) may enhance response
  • And a lot more…

Verified by the Platforms That Matter

This research summary report has been published across four trusted platforms that host peer-reviewed or open science content, including:

– Published ketamine research on Zenodo
– Ketamine evidence summary hosted on SSRN
– Scientific report on ketamine outcomes on Figshare
– Evidence-based ketamine therapy report on OSF

View the PDF Report Here:

Zenodo
SSRN
Figshare
OSF

How Do Doctors Define Remission From Depression After Ketamine Therapy?

Remission from depression represents a profound symptom reduction (70-90%) maintained for at least three consecutive weeks—a clinical state where functioning is restored and diagnostic criteria are no longer met—though unlike a cure, it acknowledges the episodic nature of depression.

Remission* means depression is gone—not just better, but fully lifted. You no longer meet the criteria for clinical depression. It’s the difference between functioning and thriving, between getting through the day and actually enjoying life again. It means your mood, energy, and sense of self return to a healthy baseline, free from the constant weight of depression.

Now, just because it’s gone doesn’t mean it won’t come back. Depression can be episodic, meaning it might return under certain conditions—just like someone with asthma can go symptom-free for years but still need treatment if triggers arise.

When I first reached remission, I wanted to jump up and down and yell, “I’m cured! I’m cured!” But remission isn’t a cure—it’s more like a truce in a long battle. A cure would mean the war is over, the enemy defeated, and the threat gone forever. Remission, on the other hand, is when the fighting stops, the skies clear, and you get to rebuild your life—but you know the enemy could return someday.

 * The American College of Neuropsychopharmacology Task Force on Response and Remission in Major Depressive Disorder recommends that remission be ascribed after 3 consecutive weeks during which minimal symptom status is maintained. 

esketamine nasal spray cost

How Remission Actually Feels

Ketamine is supposed to work fast, offering significant relief often in less than a day. But that couldn’t have been further from my experience.

Maybe it was because I used Spravato (the esketamine nasal spray), which studies suggest isn’t as effective–or as fast– as IV ketamine infusion therapy. Maybe it was something else. But for me, relief didn’t come in a lightning bolt. It didn’t even come in a week. It took almost a month before I felt anything resembling improvement.

When psychiatrists talk about “significant relief” or the technical term–response rates– they mean a 50% reduction in depressive symptoms. By week two? I was nowhere close. Week three? Still not there. The idea that I’d feel better after four hours or a day? Laughable.

Yet, at six weeks, my depression was gone. Completely.

There was never a dramatic turning point. There was no moment where the weight lifted, no instant where I “knew” I was better. It was slow. Almost sneaky. One day, I picked up the phone when it rang instead of letting it go to voicemail. Another day, I actually texted friends back instead of ignoring them. Drip, drip, drip.

And then, before I fully understood what had happened—my depression was over.

 HOW CLINICIANS MEASURE REMISSION

Clinicians determine depression remission through standardized assessment tools with specific score thresholds—HAM-D below 7, MADRS under 10, or BDI within 0-13—indicating symptom reduction has reached a clinically meaningful level where depression is effectively resolved.

Most depression scales do not have a formal category labeled “remission.” Instead, remission is often inferred based on specific score thresholds that indicate minimal or no depressive symptoms. Here are some of the more common scales and how they informally categorize the notion of remission:

    • Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAM-D): A clinician-administered questionnaire evaluating 17 to 21 symptoms, such as mood, insomnia, and energy levels. A score below 7 is generally considered remission.
    • Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS): This scale zeros in on core depression symptoms like sadness and concentration. A score of 10 or less often signals remission.
    • Beck Depression Inventory (BDI): A self-reported tool where you rate how you’ve been feeling. A score of (0-13) is considered remission. 
Esketamine nasal spray cost

My scores improved before my life did.

During my intake, I scored a 48—smack in the middle of Beck’s severe depression category. I was in rough shape, taking pills to work, pills to sleep, and alcohol to cope.

For weeks, nothing seemed to change. I didn’t feel dramatically better. No sudden breakthroughs. No moment of clarity. Just the same grind of exhaustion and numbness.

Then, almost a month in, my scores started dropping. And two things happened.

First, I was shocked—because it wasn’t like I felt great. I wasn’t walking around thinking, Wow, I’m really improving. But the numbers didn’t lie. My depression was loosening its grip, even if I wasn’t fully aware of it yet. 

Now, how is it possible that my score improved, but I didn’t feel any better? That felt like a betrayal—like being told I was winning a race I could swear I was still losing.

The truth is, depression doesn’t lift all at once. It unravels in pieces, healing different systems at different speeds. Those questionnaires were picking up something real—my sleep was getting a little more regular, I was moving a bit more, my concentration was sharpening—but the part of my brain responsible for feeling better was still playing catch-up.

It was like watching the storm clouds retreat in the distance but still standing in the rain. I was improving before I could recognize it. That’s the cruel trick of depression: it dulls not just your joy but your ability to perceive progress. Recovery was happening on paper before it happened in my heart.

At the time, it felt like a contradiction. Now, I see it for what it was: the first signs that something inside me was shifting, even if I wasn’t ready to believe it yet.

Second, I panicked—because I thought my insurance company would see the lower scores and cut me off. I’d been through this before with physical therapy: show too much improvement, and suddenly, you’re on your own—even if you’re not fully healed.

So, I did something I’m not proud of: I lied on the Beck Inventory. I marked my symptoms worse than they really were, trying to protect myself from having my insurance cut off.

When I finally confessed this to my psychiatrist, she laughed—not unkindly, but in a way that said, I get it, but you’ve got this backwards. She explained that the real danger wasn’t in my scores going down—it was in them not going down enough. If I didn’t show at least a 50% reduction in symptoms, my insurance wouldn’t see the treatment as effective, and that’s when they’d cut me off. See what insurance covers here. 

By the end of six weeks, my Beck score had dropped to a 3 or 4. The Beck Inventory doesn’t have an official category called “remission,” but again, a score between 0 and 13 is generally considered to indicate remission.

What does ketamine therapy cost?

“Michael, your scores on the depression assessment tests are, well…” Dr. Giles, my psychiatrist, hesitated for barely a second before blurting it out with a quick, almost cautious smile: “You are technically in remission.”

The words landed with a weight I hadn’t anticipated, not because they surprised me–I could feel the intensity of the color seeping into my life–but because hearing it from someone in a white coat, someone with the authority to measure the intangible, made it real. It wasn’t just a feeling or a fragile hope anymore. It was an official verdict.

I burst into tears. I could see Dr. Giles’ brow furrowed with concern, as if she thought I’d misheard her. I laughed, wiping my face, and said, “No, I’m not upset. It’s… the relief of knowing I wasn’t imagining how much better my life has gotten.”

What Remission Really Looks Like

True remission manifests across five key domains—emotional resilience, renewed interest, improved mood, sustained energy, and functional reconnection—often beginning not with sudden joy but with the quiet absence of mental torment, as behavioral improvements frequently precede subjective emotional awareness.

In remission, it’s not enough to say, “I feel better.” Clinicians look for a substantial reduction (70-90%) or complete disappearance of symptoms. Key areas they assess include:

  • Emotional Resilience: Can you experience stress, disappointment, or sadness without slipping back into depression? Or do small setbacks still hit like a freight train?
  • Pleasure and Interest: Do things that once felt dull or meaningless now bring genuine interest or enjoyment?
  • Mood: Are you consistently free from feelings of sadness, hopelessness, or emptiness?
  • Energy and Motivation: Can you get out of bed and engage in daily activities without feeling drained?
  • Functionality: Are you reconnecting with life—work, relationships, and hobbies?
What does ketamine therapy cost?

One of the first signs of remission isn’t necessarily joy or excitement, but mental quiet. The relentless noise of self-doubt, guilt, and exhaustion fades, not with a bang, but with an absence. You don’t wake up one day thrilled to be alive—you just notice that existing isn’t unbearable.

There’s also, as I mentioned earlier, an odd tension between knowing you’ve improved and actually feeling better. You might notice yourself talking more in conversations, responding to texts, making plans—but without a single moment where you feel a dramatic shift.

Spravato nasal spray insurance

Remission tiptoed in when I wasn’t looking.

Scales and checklists are helpful, but the real test of remission is how you actually feel. Long before my psychiatrist or the Beck scores pronounced me in remission, I knew I was getting better because my life started to change. The awful feelings that once controlled me were waning, and slowly I stopped trying to drown them in pills or alcohol.

I’ll never forget the moment I recognized real progress. I was in the ketamine clinic, and I caught my reflection in the mirror. At first, I didn’t recognize myself. Normally, I walked in looking like a wreck: unshowered, unshaven, dressed in whatever was closest to the bed. But that day? I was clean-shaven, freshly showered, wearing clothes that actually fit me. I’d even woken up early—early!—to work out before my session.

It wasn’t something I planned. I didn’t wake up and decide to put my life together that day. It just happened. That’s the thing about remission—it sneaks up on you. There’s no big “TA-DAH!” moment. One day, you look in the mirror, and you see someone you almost forgot existed.

How Noticing Old Habits Keeps Me in Remission

​​Staying in remission means catching yourself before old habits pull you back into depression. For me, one big red flag is cutting off contact with family and friends—letting calls go to voicemail and ignoring texts. That was always one of the first things I did when depression hit hard.

Now, when I catch myself slipping into that pattern, I know exactly what’s happening and where it leads—and I act before it takes hold. Sometimes it’s sheer willpower, picking up the phone and calling or texting back. Other times, I stop and think about why I’m starting to isolate and face it head-on. And if I need extra help, I don’t hesitate to go back to my therapist. It’s about stopping the spiral before it starts.

Staying in remission is also about creating the kind of life that keeps depression from finding a way back in. I prioritize sleep like it’s medicine, stick to a routine that includes exercise, and make time for things that genuinely bring me joy, even on busy days. 

Man, I’m making myself sound like some self-help guru who’s nailed life, like I’ve got everything figured out and my days end with birds singing me to sleep. It ain’t true. I struggle but I don’t see my struggle as all that different from what anyone else deals with. People without depression have to work to keep their life on track, too. The only difference is I know what happens if I let things slide, so I try to stay on top of it. Not perfectly, not always gracefully, but enough to keep moving forward.

Frequently Asked Questions About Ketamine Remission Rates

Real questions about ketamine therapy and remission—based on 33 systematic reviews from 2020–2024.

Which ketamine treatment is likelier to end my depression—IV ketamine or the nasal spray Spravato?

Up to 72% of people achieve remission with IV ketamine therapy when combined with psychotherapy, compared to up to 49% with Spravato (esketamine nasal spray) plus therapy. These figures come from statistical modeling based on 33 systematic reviews of ketamine research published 2020–2024.

Published studies show IV ketamine achieving 27–43% remission after just 1–2 infusions, with evidence indicating it’s 2.5–5 times more potent than Spravato. The model conservatively estimates 68% remission with a full IV ketamine protocol alone, increasing to 72% with therapy added.

Spravato’s documented remission rates range from 32–58% (median: 39%) with complete treatment protocols of 8–24 doses. While projected to be less effective than IV ketamine, Spravato offers the significant advantage of potential insurance coverage, making it more accessible for many patients.

Is ketamine more effective when it’s combined with psychotherapy—and what kind of results should I expect if I do both?

Yes, ketamine appears more effective when combined with psychotherapy. Decades of research on traditional antidepressants show that therapy increases success rates by about 25%. This established therapeutic enhancement provides a strong theoretical basis for applying the same combination approach to ketamine treatment, and while ketamine-specific research is still developing, early evidence supports this application.

Statistical projections based on systematic reviews indicate that adding psychotherapy to ketamine treatment can increase remission rates by approximately 4 percentage points for IV ketamine and 10 percentage points for Spravato. For IV ketamine, the estimated remission rate increases from about 68% without therapy to 72% with therapy. Similarly, Spravato (esketamine nasal spray) shows projected improvement from a median of 39% to around 49% when psychotherapy is included.

This enhancement effect aligns with our understanding of ketamine’s neuroplastic mechanisms. Therapy appears to help patients capitalize on ketamine’s neurobiological effects, potentially promoting more durable neuroadaptations that support longer-lasting remission. The combination of pharmacological intervention and structured psychological support may provide complementary pathways to sustained symptom resolution.

What exactly does remission from depression mean—and how do clinicians decide you’ve reached it?

Remission from depression means the condition is gone—not just improved, but fully lifted. You no longer meet the clinical criteria for depression. It’s the difference between merely functioning and truly thriving, between simply getting through the day and actually enjoying life again. Your mood, energy, and sense of self return to a healthy baseline, free from depression’s persistent weight.

Clinicians determine remission using standardized assessment tools with specific score thresholds. The most common scales include:

  • Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAM-D): A score below 7 indicates remission
  • Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS): A score of 10 or less signals remission
  • Beck Depression Inventory (BDI): A score between 0–13 is considered remission

True remission requires substantial reduction (70–90%) or complete disappearance of symptoms across multiple domains. Clinicians evaluate key areas including emotional resilience, interest in activities, consistent mood stability, energy levels, and daily functionality.

It’s important to understand that remission differs from a cure. Depression can be episodic, potentially returning under certain conditions—similar to how someone with asthma might be symptom-free for years but still require treatment if triggers arise. The American College of Neuropsychopharmacology recommends that remission be confirmed only after maintaining minimal symptom status for at least three consecutive weeks.

How do doctors measure improvement in depression symptoms, and why might scores improve before you actually feel better?

Doctors use standardized rating scales to track improvement, like the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAM-D), or the Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS). These tools measure specific symptoms—sleep, appetite, mood, energy, focus—assigning scores that reflect how severe or diminished they are. A 50% drop in your total score is often considered a “response,” while remission usually requires a sustained low score across multiple weeks.

Scores often improve before patients subjectively feel better, creating a puzzling disconnect many find frustrating. This phenomenon occurs because depression affects multiple brain systems that heal at different rates. Objective improvements in sleep patterns, activity levels, and concentration may register on assessment scales while emotional processing systems—those responsible for experiencing joy, relief, or well-being—remain slower to recover.

How quickly does ketamine therapy typically start working for depression, and should I be concerned if I don’t feel immediate relief?

IV ketamine produces significant antidepressant effects within hours to days, while Spravato (esketamine nasal spray) acts slightly more gradually but still much faster than conventional antidepressants. Regardless of treatment method, the majority of patients who will ultimately achieve remission do so within eight weeks of starting treatment.

Research demonstrates normal response variability based on administration method, metabolic factors, depression severity, and treatment history. If you don’t experience immediate improvement, this doesn’t indicate treatment failure. Some patients who ultimately achieve remission show a more gradual response pattern, reaching maximum improvement between weeks 4–8 of the treatment protocol.

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